ETH Sentiment

Polymarket prediction markets

ETH/USDT

$1,800

NEUTRAL

48.4% up

Last update: 04:16 AM UTC

Pivot Strikes

Strike price closest to 50% probability for each date

June 18

$2K

11%

June 19

$2K

20%

June 20

$2K

24%

June 21

$2K

28%

June 22

$2K

32%

June 23

$2K

35%

June 24

$2K

37%

Fair Value Analysis

Normal

Historical probabilities vs Polymarket odds (30d lookback)

μ: -0.00%

σ: 0.69%

P(up): 51.8%

n=720

μ: +0.00%

σ: 1.46%

P(up): 56.1%

n=180

μ: +0.04%

σ: 3.11%

P(up): 50.0%

n=30

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Strike Ladder

Probability of ETH above each strike at resolution. Hover for details.

Price:

Strike	Diff%	Fair (1d/30d)	Jun 18	Jun 19	Jun 20	Jun 21	Jun 22	Jun 23	Jun 24
$2,300	+27.8%	1%	—	—	—	—	0% June 22 @ $2,300 Bid: 0% Ask: 1% Spread: 0.3% Volume: $108 Liquidity: $6K	1% June 23 @ $2,300 Bid: 1% Ask: 2% Spread: 0.7% Volume: $15 Liquidity: $5K	0% June 24 @ $2,300 Bid: 0% Ask: 1% Spread: 0.4% Volume: $110 Liquidity: $6K
$2,200	+22.2%	1%	—	0% June 19 @ $2,200 Bid: — Ask: 0% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $5K Liquidity: $17K	1% June 20 @ $2,200 Bid: 0% Ask: 1% Spread: 1.3% Volume: $1K Liquidity: $11K	1% June 21 @ $2,200 Bid: 0% Ask: 2% Spread: 1.2% Volume: $51 Liquidity: $5K	2% June 22 @ $2,200 Bid: 1% Ask: 2% Spread: 0.4% Volume: $137 Liquidity: $5K	1% June 23 @ $2,200 Bid: 1% Ask: 1% Spread: 0.4% Volume: $190 Liquidity: $6K	0% June 24 @ $2,200 Bid: 0% Ask: 1% Spread: 0.4% Volume: $115 Liquidity: $5K
$2,100	+16.7%	1%	0% June 18 @ $2,100 Bid: — Ask: 0% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $14K Liquidity: $26K	0% June 19 @ $2,100 Bid: 0% Ask: 0% Spread: 0.3% Volume: $356 Liquidity: $12K	1% June 20 @ $2,100 Bid: 0% Ask: 1% Spread: 0.4% Volume: $372 Liquidity: $5K	1% June 21 @ $2,100 Bid: 1% Ask: 1% Spread: 0.4% Volume: $171 Liquidity: $5K	1% June 22 @ $2,100 Bid: 1% Ask: 1% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $40 Liquidity: $5K	1% June 23 @ $2,100 Bid: 1% Ask: 1% Spread: 0.4% Volume: $159 Liquidity: $5K	2% June 24 @ $2,100 Bid: 1% Ask: 3% Spread: 1.7% Volume: $6 Liquidity: $5K
$2,000	+11.1%	1%	0% June 18 @ $2,000 Bid: — Ask: 0% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $19K Liquidity: $21K	0% June 19 @ $2,000 Bid: 0% Ask: 1% Spread: 0.3% Volume: $6K Liquidity: $15K	2% June 20 @ $2,000 Bid: 2% Ask: 2% Spread: 0.3% Volume: $1K Liquidity: $11K	2% June 21 @ $2,000 Bid: 2% Ask: 2% Spread: 0.6% Volume: $1K Liquidity: $11K	2% June 22 @ $2,000 Bid: 1% Ask: 3% Spread: 1.8% Volume: $138 Liquidity: $5K	4% June 23 @ $2,000 Bid: 3% Ask: 4% Spread: 0.4% Volume: $52 Liquidity: $5K	3% June 24 @ $2,000 Bid: 2% Ask: 4% Spread: 2.5% Volume: $5 Liquidity: $5K
$1,900	+5.6%	9%	0% June 18 @ $1,900 Bid: 0% Ask: 0% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $38K Liquidity: $17K	2% June 19 @ $1,900 Bid: 2% Ask: 2% Spread: 0.4% Volume: $24K Liquidity: $12K	3% June 20 @ $1,900 Bid: 3% Ask: 3% Spread: 0.4% Volume: $484 Liquidity: $5K	2% June 21 @ $1,900 Bid: 2% Ask: 3% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $1K Liquidity: $12K	6% June 22 @ $1,900 Bid: 4% Ask: 8% Spread: 4.0% Volume: $526 Liquidity: $11K	9% June 23 @ $1,900 Bid: 7% Ask: 11% Spread: 4.0% Volume: $156 Liquidity: $5K	11% June 24 @ $1,900 Bid: 8% Ask: 13% Spread: 5.0% Volume: $236 Liquidity: $5K
$1,800	+0.0%	50%	11% June 18 @ $1,800 Bid: 10% Ask: 11% Spread: 1.0% Volume: $56K Liquidity: $10K	20% June 19 @ $1,800 Bid: 17% Ask: 22% Spread: 5.0% Volume: $38K Liquidity: $13K	24% June 20 @ $1,800 Bid: 22% Ask: 26% Spread: 4.0% Volume: $2K Liquidity: $12K	28% June 21 @ $1,800 Bid: 26% Ask: 30% Spread: 4.0% Volume: $309 Liquidity: $5K	32% June 22 @ $1,800 Bid: 30% Ask: 34% Spread: 4.0% Volume: $1K Liquidity: $11K	35% June 23 @ $1,800 Bid: 32% Ask: 37% Spread: 5.0% Volume: $278 Liquidity: $5K	37% June 24 @ $1,800 Bid: 35% Ask: 38% Spread: 3.0% Volume: $17 Liquidity: $5K
$1,700	-5.6%	98%	94% June 18 @ $1,700 Bid: 94% Ask: 95% Spread: 0.9% Volume: $70K Liquidity: $14K	85% June 19 @ $1,700 Bid: 83% Ask: 86% Spread: 3.0% Volume: $6K Liquidity: $12K	82% June 20 @ $1,700 Bid: 80% Ask: 84% Spread: 4.0% Volume: $521 Liquidity: $11K	80% June 21 @ $1,700 Bid: 78% Ask: 82% Spread: 4.0% Volume: $1K Liquidity: $12K	76% June 22 @ $1,700 Bid: 73% Ask: 78% Spread: 5.0% Volume: $1K Liquidity: $11K	74% June 23 @ $1,700 Bid: 71% Ask: 76% Spread: 5.0% Volume: $523 Liquidity: $11K	72% June 24 @ $1,700 Bid: 69% Ask: 74% Spread: 5.0% Volume: $12 Liquidity: $5K
$1,600	-11.1%	99%	99% June 18 @ $1,600 Bid: 99% Ask: 99% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $41K Liquidity: $18K	98% June 19 @ $1,600 Bid: 97% Ask: 99% Spread: 2.0% Volume: $26K Liquidity: $13K	97% June 20 @ $1,600 Bid: 96% Ask: 99% Spread: 2.9% Volume: $9K Liquidity: $13K	97% June 21 @ $1,600 Bid: 97% Ask: 98% Spread: 1.1% Volume: $9K Liquidity: $14K	95% June 22 @ $1,600 Bid: 95% Ask: 96% Spread: 1.3% Volume: $3K Liquidity: $13K	93% June 23 @ $1,600 Bid: 90% Ask: 95% Spread: 5.0% Volume: $2K Liquidity: $11K	91% June 24 @ $1,600 Bid: 88% Ask: 93% Spread: 5.0% Volume: $7 Liquidity: $5K
$1,500	-16.7%	99%	100% June 18 @ $1,500 Bid: 100% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $74K Liquidity: $20K	99% June 19 @ $1,500 Bid: 98% Ask: 100% Spread: 2.4% Volume: $2K Liquidity: $12K	98% June 20 @ $1,500 Bid: 98% Ask: 99% Spread: 1.2% Volume: $2K Liquidity: $12K	98% June 21 @ $1,500 Bid: 97% Ask: 100% Spread: 2.7% Volume: $1K Liquidity: $12K	98% June 22 @ $1,500 Bid: 97% Ask: 99% Spread: 2.2% Volume: $7K Liquidity: $14K	97% June 23 @ $1,500 Bid: 96% Ask: 99% Spread: 3.1% Volume: $11K Liquidity: $12K	96% June 24 @ $1,500 Bid: 94% Ask: 98% Spread: 3.7% Volume: $2K Liquidity: $9K
$1,400	-22.2%	99%	100% June 18 @ $1,400 Bid: 100% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.2% Volume: $6K Liquidity: $18K	100% June 19 @ $1,400 Bid: 99% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.6% Volume: $567 Liquidity: $15K	98% June 20 @ $1,400 Bid: 98% Ask: 99% Spread: 1.2% Volume: $1K Liquidity: $14K	99% June 21 @ $1,400 Bid: 98% Ask: 100% Spread: 2.3% Volume: $330 Liquidity: $7K	99% June 22 @ $1,400 Bid: 98% Ask: 100% Spread: 1.9% Volume: $3K Liquidity: $14K	98% June 23 @ $1,400 Bid: 97% Ask: 100% Spread: 2.7% Volume: $515 Liquidity: $10K	98% June 24 @ $1,400 Bid: 97% Ask: 100% Spread: 2.9% Volume: $340 Liquidity: $5K
$1,300	-27.8%	99%	100% June 18 @ $1,300 Bid: 100% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $8K Liquidity: $64K	100% June 19 @ $1,300 Bid: 99% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.5% Volume: $689 Liquidity: $16K	99% June 20 @ $1,300 Bid: 98% Ask: 100% Spread: 1.8% Volume: $307 Liquidity: $9K	99% June 21 @ $1,300 Bid: 98% Ask: 100% Spread: 1.8% Volume: $13 Liquidity: $9K	98% June 22 @ $1,300 Bid: 98% Ask: 99% Spread: 1.1% Volume: $6 Liquidity: $7K	98% June 23 @ $1,300 Bid: 98% Ask: 99% Spread: 1.3% Volume: $7 Liquidity: $5K	99% June 24 @ $1,300 Bid: 98% Ask: 100% Spread: 2.4% Volume: $88 Liquidity: $5K
$1,200	-33.3%	99%	100% June 18 @ $1,200 Bid: 100% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $5K Liquidity: $42K	100% June 19 @ $1,200 Bid: 100% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $858 Liquidity: $17K	99% June 20 @ $1,200 Bid: 98% Ask: 100% Spread: 1.8% Volume: $152 Liquidity: $9K	99% June 21 @ $1,200 Bid: 98% Ask: 100% Spread: 1.7% Volume: $13 Liquidity: $7K	—	—	—
$1,100	-38.9%	99%	100% June 18 @ $1,100 Bid: 100% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $6K Liquidity: $58K	—	—	—	—	—	—

Up/Down Markets

Average probability of BTC going up per interval

Prediction History

How market probabilities evolved throughout the day vs ETH price

ETH Price

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