ETH Sentiment

Polymarket prediction markets

ETH/USDT

$2,400

BULLISH

55.0% up

Last update: 05:26 AM UTC

Pivot Strikes

Strike price closest to 50% probability for each date

April 22

$2K

22%

April 23

$2K

36%

April 24

$2K

38%

April 25

$2K

39%

April 26

$2K

40%

April 27

$2K

42%

April 28

$2K

43%

Fair Value Analysis

Normal

Historical probabilities vs Polymarket odds (30d lookback)

μ: -0.00%

σ: 0.69%

P(up): 51.8%

n=720

μ: +0.00%

σ: 1.46%

P(up): 56.1%

n=180

μ: +0.04%

σ: 3.11%

P(up): 50.0%

n=30

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Strike Ladder

Probability of ETH above each strike at resolution. Hover for details.

Price:

Strike	Diff%	Fair (4h/30d)	Apr 22	Apr 23	Apr 24	Apr 25	Apr 26	Apr 27	Apr 28
$2,900	+20.8%	1%	—	—	0% April 24 @ $2,900 Bid: 0% Ask: 0% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $245 Liquidity: $13K	1% April 25 @ $2,900 Bid: 1% Ask: 1% Spread: 0.3% Volume: $30 Liquidity: $13K	—	—	—
$2,800	+16.7%	1%	0% April 22 @ $2,800 Bid: — Ask: 0% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $13K Liquidity: $64K	0% April 23 @ $2,800 Bid: — Ask: 0% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $12K Liquidity: $29K	2% April 24 @ $2,800 Bid: 1% Ask: 2% Spread: 1.3% Volume: $50 Liquidity: $12K	2% April 25 @ $2,800 Bid: 0% Ask: 3% Spread: 2.4% Volume: $247 Liquidity: $12K	1% April 26 @ $2,800 Bid: 0% Ask: 2% Spread: 1.5% Volume: $93 Liquidity: $12K	2% April 27 @ $2,800 Bid: 1% Ask: 2% Spread: 1.2% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $12K	2% April 28 @ $2,800 Bid: 1% Ask: 3% Spread: 1.6% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $13K
$2,700	+12.5%	1%	0% April 22 @ $2,700 Bid: — Ask: 0% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $20K Liquidity: $47K	0% April 23 @ $2,700 Bid: 0% Ask: 0% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $5K Liquidity: $20K	1% April 24 @ $2,700 Bid: 1% Ask: 2% Spread: 1.1% Volume: $1K Liquidity: $20K	2% April 25 @ $2,700 Bid: 1% Ask: 4% Spread: 2.6% Volume: $67 Liquidity: $12K	3% April 26 @ $2,700 Bid: 2% Ask: 3% Spread: 1.4% Volume: $2K Liquidity: $18K	4% April 27 @ $2,700 Bid: 3% Ask: 6% Spread: 2.7% Volume: $57 Liquidity: $12K	4% April 28 @ $2,700 Bid: 4% Ask: 5% Spread: 0.8% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $12K
$2,600	+8.3%	1%	0% April 22 @ $2,600 Bid: — Ask: 0% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $29K Liquidity: $37K	1% April 23 @ $2,600 Bid: 1% Ask: 2% Spread: 0.6% Volume: $6K Liquidity: $20K	4% April 24 @ $2,600 Bid: 3% Ask: 5% Spread: 2.2% Volume: $6K Liquidity: $20K	5% April 25 @ $2,600 Bid: 4% Ask: 7% Spread: 3.4% Volume: $481 Liquidity: $12K	7% April 26 @ $2,600 Bid: 6% Ask: 8% Spread: 2.3% Volume: $771 Liquidity: $19K	8% April 27 @ $2,600 Bid: 6% Ask: 10% Spread: 4.0% Volume: $27 Liquidity: $12K	11% April 28 @ $2,600 Bid: 9% Ask: 12% Spread: 3.0% Volume: $6 Liquidity: $12K
$2,500	+4.2%	1%	1% April 22 @ $2,500 Bid: 1% Ask: 1% Spread: 0.8% Volume: $32K Liquidity: $23K	7% April 23 @ $2,500 Bid: 6% Ask: 9% Spread: 2.5% Volume: $5K Liquidity: $23K	14% April 24 @ $2,500 Bid: 13% Ask: 15% Spread: 2.0% Volume: $10K Liquidity: $21K	16% April 25 @ $2,500 Bid: 14% Ask: 17% Spread: 3.0% Volume: $665 Liquidity: $19K	18% April 26 @ $2,500 Bid: 17% Ask: 19% Spread: 2.0% Volume: $782 Liquidity: $18K	20% April 27 @ $2,500 Bid: 19% Ask: 21% Spread: 2.0% Volume: $95 Liquidity: $12K	22% April 28 @ $2,500 Bid: 21% Ask: 23% Spread: 2.0% Volume: $6 Liquidity: $13K
$2,400	+0.0%	55%	22% April 22 @ $2,400 Bid: 21% Ask: 22% Spread: 1.0% Volume: $46K Liquidity: $22K	36% April 23 @ $2,400 Bid: 34% Ask: 37% Spread: 3.0% Volume: $14K Liquidity: $22K	38% April 24 @ $2,400 Bid: 37% Ask: 38% Spread: 1.0% Volume: $3K Liquidity: $21K	39% April 25 @ $2,400 Bid: 38% Ask: 40% Spread: 2.0% Volume: $666 Liquidity: $19K	40% April 26 @ $2,400 Bid: 39% Ask: 41% Spread: 2.0% Volume: $104 Liquidity: $13K	42% April 27 @ $2,400 Bid: 40% Ask: 43% Spread: 3.0% Volume: $82 Liquidity: $13K	43% April 28 @ $2,400 Bid: 41% Ask: 45% Spread: 4.0% Volume: $20 Liquidity: $13K
$2,300	-4.2%	97%	92% April 22 @ $2,300 Bid: 91% Ask: 92% Spread: 1.0% Volume: $26K Liquidity: $23K	79% April 23 @ $2,300 Bid: 77% Ask: 80% Spread: 3.0% Volume: $2K Liquidity: $18K	73% April 24 @ $2,300 Bid: 72% Ask: 74% Spread: 2.0% Volume: $896 Liquidity: $19K	69% April 25 @ $2,300 Bid: 67% Ask: 71% Spread: 4.0% Volume: $1K Liquidity: $19K	68% April 26 @ $2,300 Bid: 66% Ask: 70% Spread: 4.0% Volume: $21 Liquidity: $12K	66% April 27 @ $2,300 Bid: 64% Ask: 67% Spread: 3.0% Volume: $10 Liquidity: $10K	65% April 28 @ $2,300 Bid: 63% Ask: 67% Spread: 4.0% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $13K
$2,200	-8.3%	99%	99% April 22 @ $2,200 Bid: 99% Ask: 99% Spread: 0.3% Volume: $33K Liquidity: $21K	97% April 23 @ $2,200 Bid: 96% Ask: 98% Spread: 1.3% Volume: $3K Liquidity: $22K	92% April 24 @ $2,200 Bid: 91% Ask: 93% Spread: 2.0% Volume: $2K Liquidity: $22K	91% April 25 @ $2,200 Bid: 89% Ask: 92% Spread: 3.0% Volume: $472 Liquidity: $13K	88% April 26 @ $2,200 Bid: 86% Ask: 89% Spread: 3.0% Volume: $553 Liquidity: $17K	85% April 27 @ $2,200 Bid: 84% Ask: 86% Spread: 2.0% Volume: $66 Liquidity: $12K	83% April 28 @ $2,200 Bid: 81% Ask: 85% Spread: 4.0% Volume: $36 Liquidity: $12K
$2,100	-12.5%	99%	100% April 22 @ $2,100 Bid: 100% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $73K Liquidity: $26K	99% April 23 @ $2,100 Bid: 99% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.5% Volume: $6K Liquidity: $21K	98% April 24 @ $2,100 Bid: 97% Ask: 98% Spread: 1.0% Volume: $7K Liquidity: $22K	97% April 25 @ $2,100 Bid: 97% Ask: 98% Spread: 1.4% Volume: $3K Liquidity: $22K	96% April 26 @ $2,100 Bid: 95% Ask: 97% Spread: 2.2% Volume: $6K Liquidity: $22K	95% April 27 @ $2,100 Bid: 94% Ask: 95% Spread: 1.0% Volume: $609 Liquidity: $22K	93% April 28 @ $2,100 Bid: 92% Ask: 94% Spread: 2.0% Volume: $533 Liquidity: $21K
$2,000	-16.7%	99%	100% April 22 @ $2,000 Bid: 100% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $140K Liquidity: $34K	100% April 23 @ $2,000 Bid: 99% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.4% Volume: $6K Liquidity: $22K	99% April 24 @ $2,000 Bid: 98% Ask: 99% Spread: 1.0% Volume: $6K Liquidity: $19K	99% April 25 @ $2,000 Bid: 99% Ask: 99% Spread: 0.4% Volume: $3K Liquidity: $19K	99% April 26 @ $2,000 Bid: 98% Ask: 99% Spread: 0.9% Volume: $6K Liquidity: $19K	97% April 27 @ $2,000 Bid: 97% Ask: 98% Spread: 1.1% Volume: $7K Liquidity: $19K	97% April 28 @ $2,000 Bid: 96% Ask: 98% Spread: 1.6% Volume: $900 Liquidity: $20K
$1,900	-20.8%	99%	100% April 22 @ $1,900 Bid: 100% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $356K Liquidity: $73K	100% April 23 @ $1,900 Bid: 100% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.2% Volume: $14K Liquidity: $26K	100% April 24 @ $1,900 Bid: 100% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.2% Volume: $8K Liquidity: $20K	99% April 25 @ $1,900 Bid: 99% Ask: 100% Spread: 1.1% Volume: $4K Liquidity: $17K	99% April 26 @ $1,900 Bid: 99% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.4% Volume: $2K Liquidity: $17K	99% April 27 @ $1,900 Bid: 99% Ask: 99% Spread: 0.4% Volume: $4K Liquidity: $18K	99% April 28 @ $1,900 Bid: 98% Ask: 99% Spread: 0.4% Volume: $3K Liquidity: $18K
$1,800	-25.0%	99%	100% April 22 @ $1,800 Bid: 100% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $112K Liquidity: $50K	100% April 23 @ $1,800 Bid: 100% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $94K Liquidity: $31K	—	—	99% April 26 @ $1,800 Bid: 99% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.8% Volume: $3K Liquidity: $18K	99% April 27 @ $1,800 Bid: 99% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.8% Volume: $503 Liquidity: $17K	99% April 28 @ $1,800 Bid: 98% Ask: 100% Spread: 1.7% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $12K

Up/Down Markets

Average probability of BTC going up per interval

Prediction History

How market probabilities evolved throughout the day vs ETH price

ETH Price

Select a date to view prediction history