SOL Sentiment

Polymarket prediction markets

SOL/USDT

$90

BULLISH

52.1% up

Last update: 05:09 AM UTC

Combined Sentiment

BULLISH

15 min

—

1 day

PM: 52.1%

Pivot Strikes

Strike price closest to 50% probability for each date

April 22

$0K

April 23

$0K

18%

April 24

$0K

24%

April 25

$0K

28%

April 26

$0K

30%

April 27

$0K

33%

April 28

$0K

33%

Fair Value Analysis

Low Vol

Historical probabilities vs Polymarket odds (30d lookback)

μ: -0.01%

σ: 0.76%

P(up): 50.8%

n=720

μ: -0.05%

σ: 1.58%

P(up): 51.1%

n=180

μ: -0.20%

σ: 3.06%

P(up): 46.7%

n=30

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Strike Ladder

Probability of SOL above each strike at resolution. Hover for details.

Price:

Strike	Diff%	Fair (4h/30d)	Apr 22	Apr 23	Apr 24	Apr 25	Apr 26	Apr 27	Apr 28
$140	+55.6%	1%	—	0% April 23 @ $140 Bid: — Ask: 1% Spread: 0.7% Volume: $732 Liquidity: $14K	0% April 24 @ $140 Bid: — Ask: 1% Spread: 0.6% Volume: $709 Liquidity: $12K	0% April 25 @ $140 Bid: — Ask: 0% Spread: 0.4% Volume: $632 Liquidity: $12K	2% April 26 @ $140 Bid: 0% Ask: 3% Spread: 3.2% Volume: $175 Liquidity: $8K	2% April 27 @ $140 Bid: 1% Ask: 2% Spread: 1.0% Volume: $20 Liquidity: $8K	2% April 28 @ $140 Bid: 0% Ask: 3% Spread: 3.3% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $8K
$130	+44.4%	1%	0% April 22 @ $130 Bid: — Ask: 0% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $824 Liquidity: $37K	0% April 23 @ $130 Bid: — Ask: 0% Spread: 0.4% Volume: $705 Liquidity: $14K	1% April 24 @ $130 Bid: — Ask: 1% Spread: 1.3% Volume: $269 Liquidity: $8K	—	2% April 26 @ $130 Bid: 0% Ask: 3% Spread: 3.1% Volume: $25 Liquidity: $8K	2% April 27 @ $130 Bid: 1% Ask: 3% Spread: 2.3% Volume: $20 Liquidity: $8K	2% April 28 @ $130 Bid: 0% Ask: 3% Spread: 3.3% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $8K
$120	+33.3%	1%	0% April 22 @ $120 Bid: — Ask: 0% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $650 Liquidity: $39K	0% April 23 @ $120 Bid: 0% Ask: 1% Spread: 0.6% Volume: $579 Liquidity: $14K	0% April 24 @ $120 Bid: — Ask: 1% Spread: 0.7% Volume: $544 Liquidity: $12K	0% April 25 @ $120 Bid: 0% Ask: 0% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $941 Liquidity: $13K	2% April 26 @ $120 Bid: 0% Ask: 3% Spread: 3.1% Volume: $25 Liquidity: $8K	2% April 27 @ $120 Bid: 1% Ask: 3% Spread: 2.4% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $8K	2% April 28 @ $120 Bid: 0% Ask: 3% Spread: 3.3% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $8K
$110	+22.2%	1%	0% April 22 @ $110 Bid: — Ask: 0% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $740 Liquidity: $33K	0% April 23 @ $110 Bid: — Ask: 1% Spread: 0.7% Volume: $436 Liquidity: $10K	2% April 24 @ $110 Bid: — Ask: 3% Spread: 3.3% Volume: $369 Liquidity: $8K	2% April 25 @ $110 Bid: 0% Ask: 3% Spread: 3.3% Volume: $5 Liquidity: $8K	2% April 26 @ $110 Bid: 0% Ask: 4% Spread: 3.5% Volume: $5 Liquidity: $8K	2% April 27 @ $110 Bid: 1% Ask: 4% Spread: 2.8% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $8K	2% April 28 @ $110 Bid: 0% Ask: 4% Spread: 4.0% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $8K
$100	+11.1%	1%	0% April 22 @ $100 Bid: 0% Ask: 1% Spread: 0.5% Volume: $3K Liquidity: $22K	1% April 23 @ $100 Bid: 0% Ask: 1% Spread: 1.2% Volume: $3K Liquidity: $14K	2% April 24 @ $100 Bid: 2% Ask: 3% Spread: 1.2% Volume: $2K Liquidity: $12K	2% April 25 @ $100 Bid: 1% Ask: 3% Spread: 1.9% Volume: $717 Liquidity: $12K	4% April 26 @ $100 Bid: 1% Ask: 8% Spread: 6.8% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $8K	5% April 27 @ $100 Bid: 1% Ask: 9% Spread: 7.2% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $7K	6% April 28 @ $100 Bid: 2% Ask: 9% Spread: 7.5% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $7K
$90	+0.0%	51%	6% April 22 @ $90 Bid: 2% Ask: 10% Spread: 7.3% Volume: $2K Liquidity: $15K	18% April 23 @ $90 Bid: 15% Ask: 21% Spread: 6.0% Volume: $595 Liquidity: $12K	24% April 24 @ $90 Bid: 22% Ask: 26% Spread: 4.0% Volume: $472 Liquidity: $7K	28% April 25 @ $90 Bid: 25% Ask: 30% Spread: 5.0% Volume: $57 Liquidity: $7K	30% April 26 @ $90 Bid: 27% Ask: 33% Spread: 6.0% Volume: $50 Liquidity: $7K	33% April 27 @ $90 Bid: 32% Ask: 34% Spread: 2.0% Volume: $1K Liquidity: $15K	33% April 28 @ $90 Bid: 30% Ask: 35% Spread: 5.0% Volume: $36 Liquidity: $7K
$80	-11.1%	99%	100% April 22 @ $80 Bid: 99% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.6% Volume: $4K Liquidity: $13K	97% April 23 @ $80 Bid: 95% Ask: 99% Spread: 3.9% Volume: $1K Liquidity: $15K	95% April 24 @ $80 Bid: 92% Ask: 97% Spread: 5.0% Volume: $3K Liquidity: $14K	92% April 25 @ $80 Bid: 89% Ask: 95% Spread: 6.0% Volume: $408 Liquidity: $7K	90% April 26 @ $80 Bid: 87% Ask: 93% Spread: 6.0% Volume: $20 Liquidity: $7K	88% April 27 @ $80 Bid: 84% Ask: 91% Spread: 7.0% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $7K	86% April 28 @ $80 Bid: 83% Ask: 89% Spread: 6.0% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $7K
$70	-22.2%	99%	100% April 22 @ $70 Bid: 99% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.6% Volume: $1K Liquidity: $20K	100% April 23 @ $70 Bid: 99% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.5% Volume: $84 Liquidity: $10K	98% April 24 @ $70 Bid: 96% Ask: 100% Spread: 4.2% Volume: $672 Liquidity: $12K	98% April 25 @ $70 Bid: 96% Ask: 100% Spread: 4.4% Volume: $19 Liquidity: $8K	99% April 26 @ $70 Bid: 97% Ask: 100% Spread: 2.8% Volume: $599 Liquidity: $12K	97% April 27 @ $70 Bid: 95% Ask: 99% Spread: 4.0% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $8K	97% April 28 @ $70 Bid: 95% Ask: 99% Spread: 4.5% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $8K
$60	-33.3%	99%	100% April 22 @ $60 Bid: 100% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $835 Liquidity: $35K	100% April 23 @ $60 Bid: 99% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.6% Volume: $383 Liquidity: $9K	99% April 24 @ $60 Bid: 98% Ask: 100% Spread: 1.7% Volume: $1K Liquidity: $12K	98% April 25 @ $60 Bid: 97% Ask: 100% Spread: 3.2% Volume: $19 Liquidity: $8K	98% April 26 @ $60 Bid: 97% Ask: 100% Spread: 3.2% Volume: $399 Liquidity: $8K	98% April 27 @ $60 Bid: 97% Ask: 99% Spread: 2.5% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $8K	98% April 28 @ $60 Bid: 96% Ask: 100% Spread: 3.8% Volume: $5 Liquidity: $8K
$50	-44.4%	99%	100% April 22 @ $50 Bid: 100% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $395 Liquidity: $31K	100% April 23 @ $50 Bid: 99% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.7% Volume: $596 Liquidity: $14K	99% April 24 @ $50 Bid: 98% Ask: 100% Spread: 2.5% Volume: $376 Liquidity: $8K	98% April 25 @ $50 Bid: 97% Ask: 100% Spread: 3.3% Volume: $194 Liquidity: $8K	98% April 26 @ $50 Bid: 97% Ask: 100% Spread: 3.1% Volume: $80 Liquidity: $8K	99% April 27 @ $50 Bid: 99% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.9% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $8K	98% April 28 @ $50 Bid: 97% Ask: 100% Spread: 2.9% Volume: $5 Liquidity: $8K
$40	-55.6%	99%	100% April 22 @ $40 Bid: 100% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $1K Liquidity: $40K	100% April 23 @ $40 Bid: 99% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.7% Volume: $1K Liquidity: $14K	99% April 24 @ $40 Bid: 98% Ask: 100% Spread: 2.1% Volume: $340 Liquidity: $8K	99% April 25 @ $40 Bid: 98% Ask: 100% Spread: 2.2% Volume: $494 Liquidity: $8K	98% April 26 @ $40 Bid: 97% Ask: 100% Spread: 3.2% Volume: $160 Liquidity: $8K	99% April 27 @ $40 Bid: 99% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.9% Volume: $20 Liquidity: $8K	99% April 28 @ $40 Bid: 99% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.9% Volume: $5 Liquidity: $8K
$30	-66.7%	99%	100% April 22 @ $30 Bid: 100% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $5K Liquidity: $40K	—	—	—	—	—	—

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