SOL Sentiment

Polymarket prediction markets

SOL/USDT

$30

NEUTRAL

49.7% up

Last update: 01:43 AM UTC

Combined Sentiment

BEARISH

15 min

—

1 day

PM: 49.7%

Pivot Strikes

Strike price closest to 50% probability for each date

June 13

$0K

June 14

$0K

48%

June 15

$0K

28%

June 16

$0K

47%

June 17

$0K

49%

June 18

$0K

49%

June 19

$0K

50%

Fair Value Analysis

Low Vol

Historical probabilities vs Polymarket odds (30d lookback)

μ: -0.01%

σ: 0.76%

P(up): 50.8%

n=720

μ: -0.05%

σ: 1.58%

P(up): 51.1%

n=180

μ: -0.20%

σ: 3.06%

P(up): 46.7%

n=30

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Strike Ladder

Probability of SOL above each strike at resolution. Hover for details.

Price:

Strike	Diff%	Fair (4h/30d)	Jun 13	Jun 14	Jun 15	Jun 16	Jun 17	Jun 18	Jun 19
$120	+300.0%	1%	—	0% June 14 @ $120 Bid: — Ask: 0% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $657 Liquidity: $14K	0% June 15 @ $120 Bid: 0% Ask: 0% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $1K Liquidity: $16K	—	2% June 17 @ $120 Bid: 0% Ask: 3% Spread: 3.0% Volume: $5 Liquidity: $5K	2% June 18 @ $120 Bid: 1% Ask: 3% Spread: 2.4% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $5K	2% June 19 @ $120 Bid: 0% Ask: 3% Spread: 3.2% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $5K
$110	+266.7%	1%	0% June 13 @ $110 Bid: — Ask: 0% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $792 Liquidity: $22K	0% June 14 @ $110 Bid: — Ask: 0% Spread: 0.3% Volume: $535 Liquidity: $5K	1% June 15 @ $110 Bid: 0% Ask: 1% Spread: 0.4% Volume: $677 Liquidity: $11K	47% June 16 @ $110 Bid: 0% Ask: 94% Spread: 94.1% Volume: $5 Liquidity: $37	42% June 17 @ $110 Bid: 0% Ask: 84% Spread: 83.6% Volume: $160 Liquidity: $60	48% June 18 @ $110 Bid: 1% Ask: 95% Spread: 94.0% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $4	50% June 19 @ $110 Bid: 0% Ask: 100% Spread: 99.4% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $5
$100	+233.3%	1%	0% June 13 @ $100 Bid: — Ask: 0% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $854 Liquidity: $26K	0% June 14 @ $100 Bid: 0% Ask: 0% Spread: 0.3% Volume: $242 Liquidity: $5K	1% June 15 @ $100 Bid: 0% Ask: 2% Spread: 1.5% Volume: $526 Liquidity: $14K	2% June 16 @ $100 Bid: 1% Ask: 3% Spread: 2.3% Volume: $65 Liquidity: $8K	2% June 17 @ $100 Bid: 1% Ask: 3% Spread: 2.4% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $5K	2% June 18 @ $100 Bid: 1% Ask: 3% Spread: 2.4% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $5K	2% June 19 @ $100 Bid: 0% Ask: 3% Spread: 3.2% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $5K
$90	+200.0%	1%	0% June 13 @ $90 Bid: — Ask: 0% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $2K Liquidity: $23K	0% June 14 @ $90 Bid: 0% Ask: 1% Spread: 0.4% Volume: $378 Liquidity: $6K	1% June 15 @ $90 Bid: 1% Ask: 2% Spread: 1.8% Volume: $235 Liquidity: $5K	1% June 16 @ $90 Bid: 0% Ask: 1% Spread: 0.7% Volume: $224 Liquidity: $5K	2% June 17 @ $90 Bid: 1% Ask: 3% Spread: 2.4% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $5K	2% June 18 @ $90 Bid: 1% Ask: 4% Spread: 2.5% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $5K	2% June 19 @ $90 Bid: 0% Ask: 4% Spread: 3.5% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $5K
$80	+166.7%	1%	0% June 13 @ $80 Bid: — Ask: 0% Spread: 0.3% Volume: $589 Liquidity: $16K	3% June 14 @ $80 Bid: 1% Ask: 5% Spread: 3.9% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $5K	1% June 15 @ $80 Bid: 0% Ask: 1% Spread: 0.5% Volume: $222 Liquidity: $5K	2% June 16 @ $80 Bid: 1% Ask: 3% Spread: 1.9% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $8K	3% June 17 @ $80 Bid: 1% Ask: 4% Spread: 3.0% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $5K	3% June 18 @ $80 Bid: 1% Ask: 5% Spread: 3.5% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $5K	3% June 19 @ $80 Bid: 1% Ask: 5% Spread: 4.5% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $5K
$70	+133.3%	1%	2% June 13 @ $70 Bid: 0% Ask: 3% Spread: 3.0% Volume: $623 Liquidity: $10K	48% June 14 @ $70 Bid: 1% Ask: 95% Spread: 94.0% Volume: $21 Liquidity: $20	28% June 15 @ $70 Bid: 4% Ask: 51% Spread: 47.0% Volume: $6 Liquidity: $20	20% June 16 @ $70 Bid: 15% Ask: 24% Spread: 9.0% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $3K	49% June 17 @ $70 Bid: 2% Ask: 95% Spread: 93.0% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $6	49% June 18 @ $70 Bid: 2% Ask: 95% Spread: 93.0% Volume: $22 Liquidity: $9	51% June 19 @ $70 Bid: 1% Ask: 100% Spread: 99.0% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $0
$60	+100.0%	1%	99% June 13 @ $60 Bid: 97% Ask: 100% Spread: 2.6% Volume: $811 Liquidity: $17K	98% June 14 @ $60 Bid: 97% Ask: 99% Spread: 1.6% Volume: $3K Liquidity: $14K	96% June 15 @ $60 Bid: 93% Ask: 99% Spread: 5.7% Volume: $270 Liquidity: $5K	95% June 16 @ $60 Bid: 92% Ask: 97% Spread: 5.0% Volume: $3K Liquidity: $16K	94% June 17 @ $60 Bid: 90% Ask: 97% Spread: 7.0% Volume: $225 Liquidity: $5K	94% June 18 @ $60 Bid: 93% Ask: 94% Spread: 1.0% Volume: $394 Liquidity: $5K	93% June 19 @ $60 Bid: 89% Ask: 96% Spread: 7.0% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $5K
$50	+66.7%	1%	100% June 13 @ $50 Bid: 100% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $732 Liquidity: $16K	97% June 14 @ $50 Bid: 95% Ask: 100% Spread: 4.5% Volume: $10 Liquidity: $5K	98% June 15 @ $50 Bid: 97% Ask: 99% Spread: 2.4% Volume: $500 Liquidity: $13K	98% June 16 @ $50 Bid: 97% Ask: 100% Spread: 2.8% Volume: $100 Liquidity: $5K	98% June 17 @ $50 Bid: 97% Ask: 100% Spread: 2.8% Volume: $86 Liquidity: $5K	98% June 18 @ $50 Bid: 96% Ask: 99% Spread: 2.6% Volume: $500 Liquidity: $13K	98% June 19 @ $50 Bid: 96% Ask: 100% Spread: 3.9% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $5K
$40	+33.3%	1%	100% June 13 @ $40 Bid: 100% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $416 Liquidity: $13K	100% June 14 @ $40 Bid: 100% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.4% Volume: $658 Liquidity: $14K	98% June 15 @ $40 Bid: 97% Ask: 100% Spread: 3.1% Volume: $5 Liquidity: $5K	98% June 16 @ $40 Bid: 97% Ask: 100% Spread: 2.9% Volume: $60 Liquidity: $5K	99% June 17 @ $40 Bid: 98% Ask: 99% Spread: 1.0% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $5K	99% June 18 @ $40 Bid: 99% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.8% Volume: $10 Liquidity: $5K	98% June 19 @ $40 Bid: 97% Ask: 100% Spread: 3.3% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $5K
$30	+0.0%	51%	100% June 13 @ $30 Bid: 100% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $381 Liquidity: $10K	99% June 14 @ $30 Bid: 99% Ask: 100% Spread: 1.3% Volume: $627 Liquidity: $5K	100% June 15 @ $30 Bid: 99% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.6% Volume: $2K Liquidity: $4K	99% June 16 @ $30 Bid: 98% Ask: 99% Spread: 1.0% Volume: $100 Liquidity: $3K	99% June 17 @ $30 Bid: 98% Ask: 99% Spread: 1.0% Volume: $100 Liquidity: $468	99% June 18 @ $30 Bid: 99% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.8% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $392	50% June 19 @ $30 Bid: — Ask: 100% Spread: 100.0% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $0
$20	-33.3%	99%	100% June 13 @ $20 Bid: 100% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $116 Liquidity: $13K	100% June 14 @ $20 Bid: 100% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.4% Volume: $256 Liquidity: $6K	100% June 15 @ $20 Bid: 99% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.6% Volume: $10 Liquidity: $5K	99% June 16 @ $20 Bid: 99% Ask: 99% Spread: 0.3% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $5K	99% June 17 @ $20 Bid: 99% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.7% Volume: $145 Liquidity: $5K	99% June 18 @ $20 Bid: 99% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.8% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $5K	98% June 19 @ $20 Bid: 97% Ask: 100% Spread: 3.2% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $5K
$10	-66.7%	99%	100% June 13 @ $10 Bid: 100% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $111 Liquidity: $10K	—	—	99% June 16 @ $10 Bid: 98% Ask: 100% Spread: 1.7% Volume: $5 Liquidity: $8K	—	—	—

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