SOL Sentiment

Polymarket prediction markets

SOL/USDT

$70

NEUTRAL

48.6% up

Last update: 12:53 AM UTC

Combined Sentiment

BEARISH

15 min

—

1 day

PM: 48.6%

Pivot Strikes

Strike price closest to 50% probability for each date

June 18

$0K

93%

June 19

$0K

81%

June 20

$0K

76%

June 21

$0K

76%

June 22

$0K

72%

June 23

$0K

70%

June 24

$0K

50%

Fair Value Analysis

Low Vol

Historical probabilities vs Polymarket odds (30d lookback)

μ: -0.01%

σ: 0.76%

P(up): 50.8%

n=720

μ: -0.05%

σ: 1.58%

P(up): 51.1%

n=180

μ: -0.20%

σ: 3.06%

P(up): 46.7%

n=30

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Strike Ladder

Probability of SOL above each strike at resolution. Hover for details.

Price:

Strike	Diff%	Fair (1d/30d)	Jun 18	Jun 19	Jun 20	Jun 21	Jun 22	Jun 23	Jun 24
$130	+85.7%	1%	—	—	—	—	1% June 22 @ $130 Bid: 0% Ask: 2% Spread: 1.7% Volume: $185 Liquidity: $5K	—	—
$120	+71.4%	1%	0% June 18 @ $120 Bid: — Ask: 0% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $483 Liquidity: $14K	0% June 19 @ $120 Bid: — Ask: 1% Spread: 0.5% Volume: $808 Liquidity: $16K	1% June 20 @ $120 Bid: 0% Ask: 2% Spread: 2.0% Volume: $187 Liquidity: $5K	1% June 21 @ $120 Bid: 0% Ask: 2% Spread: 2.0% Volume: $78 Liquidity: $5K	1% June 22 @ $120 Bid: 0% Ask: 2% Spread: 1.8% Volume: $215 Liquidity: $8K	2% June 23 @ $120 Bid: 1% Ask: 3% Spread: 2.2% Volume: $5 Liquidity: $8K	2% June 24 @ $120 Bid: 1% Ask: 3% Spread: 2.0% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $5K
$110	+57.1%	1%	0% June 18 @ $110 Bid: — Ask: 0% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $513 Liquidity: $14K	0% June 19 @ $110 Bid: 0% Ask: 1% Spread: 0.5% Volume: $710 Liquidity: $11K	1% June 20 @ $110 Bid: 0% Ask: 2% Spread: 2.1% Volume: $569 Liquidity: $5K	2% June 21 @ $110 Bid: 0% Ask: 3% Spread: 2.7% Volume: $149 Liquidity: $185	1% June 22 @ $110 Bid: 0% Ask: 2% Spread: 2.0% Volume: $223 Liquidity: $3K	1% June 23 @ $110 Bid: 0% Ask: 1% Spread: 0.7% Volume: $230 Liquidity: $621	28% June 24 @ $110 Bid: 1% Ask: 56% Spread: 55.0% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $45
$100	+42.9%	1%	0% June 18 @ $100 Bid: — Ask: 0% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $790 Liquidity: $18K	0% June 19 @ $100 Bid: 0% Ask: 1% Spread: 0.5% Volume: $451 Liquidity: $11K	2% June 20 @ $100 Bid: 0% Ask: 3% Spread: 2.7% Volume: $282 Liquidity: $8K	2% June 21 @ $100 Bid: 1% Ask: 3% Spread: 1.9% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $8K	1% June 22 @ $100 Bid: 0% Ask: 2% Spread: 2.0% Volume: $185 Liquidity: $5K	2% June 23 @ $100 Bid: 0% Ask: 3% Spread: 2.5% Volume: $120 Liquidity: $8K	2% June 24 @ $100 Bid: 1% Ask: 3% Spread: 2.0% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $5K
$90	+28.6%	1%	0% June 18 @ $90 Bid: — Ask: 0% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $4K Liquidity: $20K	1% June 19 @ $90 Bid: 0% Ask: 1% Spread: 0.6% Volume: $28 Liquidity: $10K	2% June 20 @ $90 Bid: 1% Ask: 3% Spread: 2.0% Volume: $503 Liquidity: $13K	2% June 21 @ $90 Bid: 1% Ask: 3% Spread: 1.9% Volume: $83 Liquidity: $5K	1% June 22 @ $90 Bid: 0% Ask: 2% Spread: 1.7% Volume: $185 Liquidity: $8K	1% June 23 @ $90 Bid: 1% Ask: 2% Spread: 1.9% Volume: $190 Liquidity: $8K	3% June 24 @ $90 Bid: 1% Ask: 4% Spread: 3.0% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $5K
$80	+14.3%	1%	1% June 18 @ $80 Bid: 0% Ask: 1% Spread: 0.8% Volume: $2K Liquidity: $12K	2% June 19 @ $80 Bid: 1% Ask: 4% Spread: 2.7% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $8K	3% June 20 @ $80 Bid: 1% Ask: 5% Spread: 4.2% Volume: $486 Liquidity: $8K	3% June 21 @ $80 Bid: 1% Ask: 5% Spread: 3.8% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $8K	4% June 22 @ $80 Bid: 3% Ask: 4% Spread: 1.0% Volume: $234 Liquidity: $5K	8% June 23 @ $80 Bid: 5% Ask: 10% Spread: 5.0% Volume: $26 Liquidity: $8K	9% June 24 @ $80 Bid: 5% Ask: 13% Spread: 8.0% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $5K
$70	+0.0%	44%	93% June 18 @ $70 Bid: 90% Ask: 95% Spread: 5.0% Volume: $638 Liquidity: $8K	81% June 19 @ $70 Bid: 78% Ask: 83% Spread: 5.0% Volume: $16 Liquidity: $3K	76% June 20 @ $70 Bid: 72% Ask: 79% Spread: 7.0% Volume: $15 Liquidity: $3K	76% June 21 @ $70 Bid: 72% Ask: 79% Spread: 7.0% Volume: $58 Liquidity: $3K	72% June 22 @ $70 Bid: 67% Ask: 76% Spread: 9.0% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $3K	70% June 23 @ $70 Bid: 67% Ask: 73% Spread: 6.0% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $3K	50% June 24 @ $70 Bid: 1% Ask: 99% Spread: 98.0% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $0
$60	-14.3%	99%	100% June 18 @ $60 Bid: 100% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.4% Volume: $1K Liquidity: $19K	99% June 19 @ $60 Bid: 97% Ask: 100% Spread: 2.6% Volume: $135 Liquidity: $6K	98% June 20 @ $60 Bid: 97% Ask: 100% Spread: 2.7% Volume: $110 Liquidity: $8K	98% June 21 @ $60 Bid: 97% Ask: 100% Spread: 2.7% Volume: $20 Liquidity: $8K	98% June 22 @ $60 Bid: 97% Ask: 99% Spread: 1.7% Volume: $97 Liquidity: $5K	98% June 23 @ $60 Bid: 97% Ask: 99% Spread: 2.1% Volume: $500 Liquidity: $10K	97% June 24 @ $60 Bid: 95% Ask: 99% Spread: 4.0% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $5K
$50	-28.6%	99%	100% June 18 @ $50 Bid: 100% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $920 Liquidity: $15K	99% June 19 @ $50 Bid: 99% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.7% Volume: $178 Liquidity: $10K	98% June 20 @ $50 Bid: 97% Ask: 100% Spread: 2.7% Volume: $9 Liquidity: $8K	98% June 21 @ $50 Bid: 97% Ask: 100% Spread: 2.7% Volume: $14 Liquidity: $8K	98% June 22 @ $50 Bid: 97% Ask: 99% Spread: 1.6% Volume: $83 Liquidity: $5K	98% June 23 @ $50 Bid: 97% Ask: 100% Spread: 2.3% Volume: $100 Liquidity: $8K	98% June 24 @ $50 Bid: 97% Ask: 99% Spread: 1.9% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $5K
$40	-42.9%	99%	100% June 18 @ $40 Bid: 100% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $268 Liquidity: $10K	100% June 19 @ $40 Bid: 99% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.5% Volume: $26 Liquidity: $10K	99% June 20 @ $40 Bid: 97% Ask: 100% Spread: 2.4% Volume: $5 Liquidity: $5K	99% June 21 @ $40 Bid: 97% Ask: 100% Spread: 2.5% Volume: $10 Liquidity: $8K	98% June 22 @ $40 Bid: 97% Ask: 99% Spread: 1.6% Volume: $80 Liquidity: $8K	98% June 23 @ $40 Bid: 97% Ask: 99% Spread: 1.9% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $8K	98% June 24 @ $40 Bid: 97% Ask: 99% Spread: 2.0% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $5K
$30	-57.1%	99%	100% June 18 @ $30 Bid: 100% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $161 Liquidity: $6K	100% June 19 @ $30 Bid: 99% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.5% Volume: $148 Liquidity: $6K	99% June 20 @ $30 Bid: 97% Ask: 100% Spread: 2.7% Volume: $205 Liquidity: $3K	99% June 21 @ $30 Bid: 98% Ask: 100% Spread: 1.9% Volume: $506 Liquidity: $2K	99% June 22 @ $30 Bid: 98% Ask: 100% Spread: 2.0% Volume: $125 Liquidity: $3K	99% June 23 @ $30 Bid: 98% Ask: 100% Spread: 1.9% Volume: $70 Liquidity: $477	51% June 24 @ $30 Bid: 2% Ask: 99% Spread: 97.0% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $3
$20	-71.4%	99%	100% June 18 @ $20 Bid: 100% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $152 Liquidity: $11K	100% June 19 @ $20 Bid: 99% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.5% Volume: $150 Liquidity: $10K	99% June 20 @ $20 Bid: 98% Ask: 100% Spread: 2.0% Volume: $506 Liquidity: $10K	99% June 21 @ $20 Bid: 97% Ask: 100% Spread: 2.6% Volume: $240 Liquidity: $8K	—	99% June 23 @ $20 Bid: 97% Ask: 100% Spread: 2.6% Volume: $5 Liquidity: $8K	98% June 24 @ $20 Bid: 97% Ask: 99% Spread: 2.0% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $5K

Up/Down Markets

Average probability of BTC going up per interval