SOL Sentiment

Polymarket prediction markets

SOL/USDT

$40

BEARISH

44.3% up

Last update: 10:45 PM UTC

Combined Sentiment

BEARISH

15 min

—

1 day

PM: 44.3%

Pivot Strikes

Strike price closest to 50% probability for each date

April 15

$0K

97%

April 16

$0K

89%

April 17

$0K

51%

April 18

$0K

51%

April 19

$0K

67%

April 20

$0K

51%

April 21

$0K

51%

Fair Value Analysis

Low Vol

Historical probabilities vs Polymarket odds (30d lookback)

μ: -0.01%

σ: 0.76%

P(up): 50.8%

n=720

μ: -0.05%

σ: 1.58%

P(up): 51.1%

n=180

μ: -0.20%

σ: 3.06%

P(up): 46.7%

n=30

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Strike Ladder

Probability of SOL above each strike at resolution. Hover for details.

Price:

Strike	Diff%	Fair (1d/30d)	Apr 15	Apr 16	Apr 17	Apr 18	Apr 19	Apr 20	Apr 21
$140	+250.0%	1%	—	—	—	—	—	—	1% April 21 @ $140 Bid: 0% Ask: 3% Spread: 2.2% Volume: $200 Liquidity: $6K
$130	+225.0%	1%	0% April 15 @ $130 Bid: — Ask: 0% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $3K Liquidity: $20K	0% April 16 @ $130 Bid: — Ask: 0% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $2K Liquidity: $16K	2% April 17 @ $130 Bid: 0% Ask: 3% Spread: 2.8% Volume: $181 Liquidity: $6K	1% April 18 @ $130 Bid: 0% Ask: 2% Spread: 2.2% Volume: $135 Liquidity: $6K	1% April 19 @ $130 Bid: 0% Ask: 1% Spread: 1.0% Volume: $750 Liquidity: $10K	1% April 20 @ $130 Bid: 0% Ask: 2% Spread: 2.1% Volume: $50 Liquidity: $6K	2% April 21 @ $130 Bid: 0% Ask: 3% Spread: 2.8% Volume: $80 Liquidity: $6K
$120	+200.0%	1%	0% April 15 @ $120 Bid: — Ask: 0% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $3K Liquidity: $25K	0% April 16 @ $120 Bid: — Ask: 0% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $95 Liquidity: $13K	1% April 17 @ $120 Bid: 0% Ask: 1% Spread: 0.8% Volume: $308 Liquidity: $11K	—	1% April 19 @ $120 Bid: 0% Ask: 1% Spread: 0.6% Volume: $337 Liquidity: $11K	1% April 20 @ $120 Bid: 0% Ask: 1% Spread: 0.5% Volume: $260 Liquidity: $11K	0% April 21 @ $120 Bid: — Ask: 0% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $60 Liquidity: $5K
$110	+175.0%	1%	0% April 15 @ $110 Bid: — Ask: 0% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $4K Liquidity: $18K	0% April 16 @ $110 Bid: — Ask: 0% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $110 Liquidity: $8K	1% April 17 @ $110 Bid: 0% Ask: 1% Spread: 0.9% Volume: $615 Liquidity: $10K	2% April 18 @ $110 Bid: 1% Ask: 3% Spread: 2.2% Volume: $3K Liquidity: $10K	1% April 19 @ $110 Bid: 0% Ask: 2% Spread: 1.5% Volume: $11K Liquidity: $11K	2% April 20 @ $110 Bid: 0% Ask: 3% Spread: 2.2% Volume: $100 Liquidity: $5K	1% April 21 @ $110 Bid: 0% Ask: 3% Spread: 2.6% Volume: $60 Liquidity: $2K
$100	+150.0%	1%	0% April 15 @ $100 Bid: 0% Ask: 0% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $9K Liquidity: $19K	0% April 16 @ $100 Bid: 0% Ask: 0% Spread: 0.3% Volume: $9K Liquidity: $13K	1% April 17 @ $100 Bid: 0% Ask: 2% Spread: 1.7% Volume: $8K Liquidity: $10K	0% April 18 @ $100 Bid: 0% Ask: 0% Spread: 0.2% Volume: $8K Liquidity: $10K	1% April 19 @ $100 Bid: 1% Ask: 1% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $11K Liquidity: $10K	1% April 20 @ $100 Bid: 1% Ask: 1% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $132 Liquidity: $4K	2% April 21 @ $100 Bid: 1% Ask: 3% Spread: 2.4% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $6K
$90	+125.0%	1%	1% April 15 @ $90 Bid: 1% Ask: 1% Spread: 0.4% Volume: $12K Liquidity: $10K	3% April 16 @ $90 Bid: 2% Ask: 4% Spread: 2.2% Volume: $8K Liquidity: $15K	6% April 17 @ $90 Bid: 5% Ask: 7% Spread: 2.0% Volume: $9K Liquidity: $15K	8% April 18 @ $90 Bid: 7% Ask: 8% Spread: 1.0% Volume: $9K Liquidity: $15K	10% April 19 @ $90 Bid: 9% Ask: 10% Spread: 1.0% Volume: $7K Liquidity: $15K	10% April 20 @ $90 Bid: 9% Ask: 11% Spread: 2.0% Volume: $78 Liquidity: $10K	12% April 21 @ $90 Bid: 10% Ask: 14% Spread: 4.0% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $5K
$80	+100.0%	1%	97% April 15 @ $80 Bid: 97% Ask: 97% Spread: 0.4% Volume: $12K Liquidity: $15K	89% April 16 @ $80 Bid: 87% Ask: 91% Spread: 4.5% Volume: $6K Liquidity: $15K	83% April 17 @ $80 Bid: 80% Ask: 85% Spread: 5.0% Volume: $13K Liquidity: $15K	80% April 18 @ $80 Bid: 78% Ask: 82% Spread: 4.0% Volume: $6K Liquidity: $14K	77% April 19 @ $80 Bid: 75% Ask: 78% Spread: 3.0% Volume: $5K Liquidity: $15K	77% April 20 @ $80 Bid: 76% Ask: 77% Spread: 1.0% Volume: $615 Liquidity: $16K	75% April 21 @ $80 Bid: 73% Ask: 77% Spread: 4.0% Volume: $6 Liquidity: $4K
$70	+75.0%	1%	100% April 15 @ $70 Bid: 99% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.7% Volume: $12K Liquidity: $15K	100% April 16 @ $70 Bid: 100% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $7K Liquidity: $11K	99% April 17 @ $70 Bid: 98% Ask: 100% Spread: 1.5% Volume: $4K Liquidity: $10K	98% April 18 @ $70 Bid: 97% Ask: 100% Spread: 3.1% Volume: $739 Liquidity: $3K	100% April 19 @ $70 Bid: 99% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.4% Volume: $16K Liquidity: $13K	100% April 20 @ $70 Bid: 100% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.2% Volume: $313 Liquidity: $181	98% April 21 @ $70 Bid: 96% Ask: 99% Spread: 2.6% Volume: $200 Liquidity: $6K
$60	+50.0%	1%	100% April 15 @ $60 Bid: 100% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $3K Liquidity: $16K	100% April 16 @ $60 Bid: 100% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $115 Liquidity: $5K	99% April 17 @ $60 Bid: 98% Ask: 100% Spread: 2.1% Volume: $5K Liquidity: $9K	51% April 18 @ $60 Bid: 1% Ask: 100% Spread: 98.7% Volume: $6K Liquidity: $5	100% April 19 @ $60 Bid: 100% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $7K Liquidity: $11K	51% April 20 @ $60 Bid: 1% Ask: 100% Spread: 98.7% Volume: $120 Liquidity: $2	51% April 21 @ $60 Bid: 2% Ask: 100% Spread: 98.0% Volume: $60 Liquidity: $5
$50	+25.0%	1%	100% April 15 @ $50 Bid: 100% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $4K Liquidity: $26K	100% April 16 @ $50 Bid: 100% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $15 Liquidity: $10K	100% April 17 @ $50 Bid: 100% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $60 Liquidity: $8K	100% April 18 @ $50 Bid: 100% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $204 Liquidity: $8K	99% April 19 @ $50 Bid: 98% Ask: 100% Spread: 2.1% Volume: $240 Liquidity: $8K	98% April 20 @ $50 Bid: 97% Ask: 100% Spread: 3.3% Volume: $145 Liquidity: $8K	52% April 21 @ $50 Bid: 3% Ask: 100% Spread: 97.0% Volume: $60 Liquidity: $7
$40	+0.0%	44%	100% April 15 @ $40 Bid: 100% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $68 Liquidity: $17K	100% April 16 @ $40 Bid: 100% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $2K Liquidity: $11K	51% April 17 @ $40 Bid: 1% Ask: 100% Spread: 98.9% Volume: $129 Liquidity: $3	100% April 18 @ $40 Bid: 100% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $381 Liquidity: $266	100% April 19 @ $40 Bid: 100% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $167 Liquidity: $22	100% April 20 @ $40 Bid: 100% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $30 Liquidity: $134	51% April 21 @ $40 Bid: 2% Ask: 100% Spread: 98.0% Volume: $60 Liquidity: $5
$30	-25.0%	99%	100% April 15 @ $30 Bid: 100% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $2K Liquidity: $22K	100% April 16 @ $30 Bid: 100% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $4K Liquidity: $12K	51% April 17 @ $30 Bid: 1% Ask: 100% Spread: 98.8% Volume: $450 Liquidity: $3	100% April 18 @ $30 Bid: 100% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $30 Liquidity: $119	67% April 19 @ $30 Bid: 34% Ask: 100% Spread: 66.3% Volume: $2K Liquidity: $968	100% April 20 @ $30 Bid: 100% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $30 Liquidity: $327	—

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